Result
2:1
24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9 |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Belgium | VOOsport World 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 6 |
 Germany | RTL+, RTL Nitro |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 6 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/406) | 83% (351/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/406) | 83% (351/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 59% (22/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/104) | 77% (103/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Osterhage P. ⚽,
- 42', Tsunemoto K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 0, Eggestein M. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
- 58', Tsunemoto K. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
- 58', Junior Ze ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
- 58', Salah I. ↓, Otele P. ↑,
- 60', Magnin L. 🟨,
- 70', Grifo V. 🟨,
- 71', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
- 71', Beste J. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
- 72', Ajeti Al. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
- 75', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 75', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 83', Adjetey J. ↓, Ruegg K. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Otele P. ⚽, Leroy L. (A),
- 89', Treu P. 🟨,
- 90', Manzambi J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
- 90+3', Ajeti Al. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
62% | Draw
21.1% | Basel
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Freiburg - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.72) |
4.57 ↑
(4.22) |
5.54 ↑
(4.19) |
3.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Basel?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Freiburg (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Freiburg (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.34% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 27 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Basel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Beste J.
(Inactive)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Basel: Traore B.
(Leg Injury)
van Breemen F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Basel?
Freiburg has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Freiburg?
Basel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Basel were as follows:
06.09.2024
Freiburg
-
Basel
6:0
07.01.2023
Freiburg
-
Basel
3:2
Latest results of Freiburg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
