Result
3:1
02/05/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 35
- Referee: San F. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Switzerland | RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/398) | 70% (184/263) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/398) | 70% (184/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (42/73) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (103/141) | 54% (52/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Fehr F. 🟨,
- 27', Matoshi V. 🟨,
- 39', Schmid D. 🟨,
- 39', Rastoder E. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Matoshi V. ⚽, Heule M. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Metinho ⚽, Traore B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Matoshi V. ↓, Kait M. ↑,
- 67', Ibayi C. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
- 67', Duranville J. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 67', Ruegg K. ↓, Senaya E. ↑,
- 67', Imeri K. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 73', Rastoder E. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
- 76', Bacanin A. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
- 76', Koloto G. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 83', Fehr F. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Ajeti Al. ⚽, Salah I. (A),
- 90', Bertone L. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Koindredi K. ⚽, Senaya E. (A),
Chances of winning
Basel
34.8% | Draw
26.1% | Thun
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Basel - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.41) |
3.6 ↓
(3.73) |
2.42 ↓
(2.59) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Basel - Thun?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Thun will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 2.
- Basel is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Thun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Basel: Kaio Eduardo
(Knee Injury)
Shaqiri X.
(Muscle Injury)
Tsunemoto K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Thun: Ziswiler N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Thun: Montolio G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:28. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 2.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Thun?
Basel has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Basel?
Thun has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Thun were as follows:
18.04.2026
Thun
-
Basel
3:1
01.02.2026
Basel
-
Thun
1:2
13.09.2025
Thun
-
Basel
1:3
11.01.2025
Basel
-
Thun
2:0
Swiss Super League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 35 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 76:41 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 66:44 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Lugano | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 52:38 | 14 | 63 |
| 4 | Sion | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 56:35 | 21 | 58 |
| 5 | Basel | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 54:48 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 66:63 | 3 | 48 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
