Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Estoril Praia
53.7%
Draw
24.2%
Casa Pia
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 26.1% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 27.7% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Estoril Praia - Casa Pia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.89)
    3.9
    (3.72)
    4.23
    (4.3)
    5.9%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Estoril is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Casa Pia were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 2:2
    29.04.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 1:3
    15.12.2024 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 0:2
    08.04.2024 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 0:0
    10.11.2023 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 4:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    01.03.2026 Casa Pia - Moreirense 1:1
    23.02.2026 Famalicão - Casa Pia 2:0
    14.02.2026 Casa Pia - Arouca 3:2
    08.02.2026 Nacional - Casa Pia 0:0
    02.02.2026 Casa Pia - Porto 2:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto24212147:83965
    2Sporting CP24194162:125061
    3Benfica24177051:143758
    4Braga24136550:232745
    5Gil Vicente24117635:231240
    6Famalicao24106829:21836
    7Moreirense241041030:34-434
    8Estoril2496946:42433
    9Vitoria Guimaraes24951028:35-732
    10Alverca24761124:39-1527
    11Arouca24751232:52-2026
    12Estrela24591026:41-1524
    13Casa Pia24581126:44-1823
    14Nacional24561328:36-821
    15Rio Ave24491123:44-2121
    16Santa Clara24471320:31-1119
    17Tondela24471319:38-1919
    18AFS24161718:57-399

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