Result
3:1
22/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 23
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (245/342) | 76% (281/369) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (245/342) | 76% (281/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/62) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (75/122) | 66% (70/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 38% (9/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Murilo de Souza (Penalty Awarded),
- 22', 1 - 1, Bacher F. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Fernandes J. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
- 59', Tsoungui A. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
- 68', Costa G. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 73', Varela G. ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 73', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 80', 3 - 1, Carvalho J. ⚽,
- 83', Esteves L. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 83', Ze Carlos ↓, Caseres F. ↑,
- 86', Jandro ↓, Pizzi ↑,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
31% | Draw
27.7% | Gil Vicente
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.85) |
3.41 ↑
(3.31) |
2.3 ↓
(2.47) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 21.4% – 67.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Gil Vicente (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Estoril (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Gil Vicente (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Gil Vicente (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Estoril (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Gil Vicente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Estoril: Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Elimbi M.
(Yellow Cards)
Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Lacximicant A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Gil Vicente?
Estoril Praia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Estoril Praia?
Gil Vicente has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente were as follows:
21.09.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Estoril Praia
2:0
01.02.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Estoril Praia
1:2
25.08.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Gil Vicente
0:0
18.02.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Gil Vicente
1:3
17.09.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Estoril Praia
5:3
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
