Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (362/437) | 74% (221/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (362/437) | 74% (221/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/118) | 58% (39/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Amaro A. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Abdurisag Y. ⚽, Laidouni A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', Surag M. ↓, Saleh M. ↑,
- 65', Hatem A. ↓, Ali ↑,
- 65', Garcia D. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Gregore ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
- 75', Waad F. ↓, Salah O. ↑,
- 75', Zouhzouh A. ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
- 75', Saleh M. ↓, Gaber J. ↑,
- 81', Abdurisag Y. 🟨,
- 81', Gregore 🟨,
- 83', Tiago Silva 🟨,
- 84', Yousif A. ↓, Abouelela M. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Roger Guedes ⚽, Ali (A),
- 88', Erfan N. ↓, Naji M. ↑,
- 89', Madibo A. O. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
- 90+3', Surag M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Rayyan
46.4% | Draw
24.6% | Al-Wakrah
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Rayyan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Rayyan's form might have worsened.Al-Wakrah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Wakrah's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Rayyan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Wakrah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Rayyan - Al-Wakrah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.71) |
3.78 ↓
(4.06) |
3.21 ↓
(3.97) |
7.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Rayyan - Al-Wakrah?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Rayyan will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Rayyan is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Rayyan won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Rayyan won against Al-Wakrah?
Al-Rayyan has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Wakrah won against Al-Rayyan?
Al-Wakrah has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Rayyan - Al-Wakrah were as follows:
26.10.2025
Al-Wakrah
-
Al-Rayyan
0:2
23.09.2025
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Wakrah
4:3
23.02.2025
Al-Wakrah
-
Al-Rayyan
0:4
22.09.2024
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Wakrah
0:2
04.05.2024
Al-Wakrah
-
Al-Rayyan
1:0
Latest results of Al-Rayyan
Latest results of Al-Wakrah
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 38 |
| 2 | Shamal | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-Gharafa | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 30:29 | 1 | 34 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 38:31 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29:26 | 3 | 28 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33:34 | -1 | 28 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 27 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 19 |
| 11 | Al Sailiya | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
