Freiburg vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
03/05/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5P
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.740.92
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
17
Passes
84% (422/502)70% (200/286)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.740.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.911.45
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
11
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
115
Passes
84% (422/502)70% (200/286)
Long passes
55% (29/53)31% (20/65)
Passes in final third
73% (84/115)58% (65/112)
Crosses
39% (7/18)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.53
Throw ins
3223
Fouls
511
Tackles
50% (6/12)48% (12/25)
Duels won
4545
Clearances
3126
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.450.91
Goals prevented
0.45-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 0 - 1, Koulierakis K. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
  • 57', Ginter M. 🟨,
  • 58', Holer L. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
  • 58', Ogbus B. ↓, Lienhart P. ↑,
  • 71', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
  • 72', Gunter C. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
  • 72', Vini Souza ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
  • 72', Wimmer P. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Lienhart P. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
  • 81', Svanberg M. 🟨,
  • 81', Suzuki Y. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
  • 87', Daghim A. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
  • 90+7', Koulierakis K. ↓, Jenz M. ↑,
  • 90+7', Eriksen C. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
37.4%		Draw
26.8%		Wolfsburg
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 26% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 25.9% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
    •

    Freiburg - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.54 ↑
    (2.24)    		 3.57 ↓
    (3.64)    		 2.67 ↓
    (3)    		 4.7%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 37 - 67.3%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 54.9% – 79.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DNB - Wolfsburg (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Freiburg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
    • Recent performances by Freiburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsburg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Arnold M. (Groin Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury) Wind J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:36. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Wolfsburg were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:4
    26.04.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    27.04.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 1:2
    09.12.2023 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    30.04.2026 Braga - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    26.04.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 4:0 ✺
    23.04.2026 Stuttgart - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2026 Freiburg - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    16.04.2026 Celta de Vigo - Freiburg 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    25.04.2026 Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:0 ✺
    18.04.2026 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:2 ✺
    11.04.2026 Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 ✺
    04.04.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 6:3 ✺
    21.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen 0:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 322651116:358183
    2Dortmund32207565:323367
    3RB Leipzig32195863:422162
    4Bayer Leverkusen32177866:432358
    5Stuttgart32177866:462058
    6Hoffenheim32177864:481658
    7Freiburg321281245:53-844
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3211101157:60-343
    9Augsburg321171442:56-1440
    10Mainz329101341:50-937
    11B. Monchengladbach328111337:50-1335
    12Hamburger SV328101436:51-1534
    13Union Berlin32891537:57-2033
    14FC Koln327111447:55-832
    15Werder Bremen32881637:57-2032
    16Wolfsburg32681842:67-2526
    17St. Pauli32681827:55-2826
    18Heidenheim32581938:69-3123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
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