Result
0:1
25/09/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 28
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (315/384) | 85% (391/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (315/384) | 85% (391/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/108) | 72% (81/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', DG 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', DG ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
- 57', Ze Ricardo ↓, Lucas Eduardo ↑,
- 74', Pedro Perotti ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
- 74', Italo ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 74', Pedro Martins ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 74', Thayllon ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 81', 0 - 1, Cleber ⚽, Emerson Negueba (A),
- 88', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 88', Marcinho ↓, Everton ↑,
- 88', Neto Pessoa ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
- 89', Marcinho 🟨,
- 90', JP 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
43.5% | Draw
29.4% | Avaí
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapecoense's performance.Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Chapecoense - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.4) |
3.22 ↑
(2.85) |
3.45 ↑
(3.15) |
6.5%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Chapecoense might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bressan
(Injury)
Bruno Matias
(Injury)
Victor Caetano
(Injury)
- There will not play in Avaí: Andrey
(Injury)
Joao Vitor
(Yellow Cards)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Vinicius Balieiro
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Quaresma
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Avaí?
Chapecoense has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Chapecoense?
Avaí has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Avaí were as follows:
24.05.2025
Avaí
-
Chapecoense
2:1
22.03.2025
Avaí
-
Chapecoense
1:1
15.03.2025
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
2:2
29.01.2025
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
0:0
22.09.2024
Chapecoense
-
Avaí
1:0
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
