Result
0:0
13/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (286/347) | 83% (264/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (286/347) | 83% (264/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 59% (30/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 80% (102/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 27', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
- 59', Gomez A. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
- 72', Diez C. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 72', Gentile G. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
- 76', Silva N. ↓, Galvez S. ↑,
- 87', Colitto L. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
- 87', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 88', Noronha O. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 89', Ascues A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Aquino J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cusco
38.8% | Draw
27.8% | Cienciano
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Cusco - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.3) |
3.33 ↓
(3.39) |
2.79 ↓
(3) |
7.6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cusco - Cienciano?
Users Predictions:
Cusco will win
(26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cusco will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 2.
- Cusco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cienciano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cusco could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Garces C.
(Injury)
Ortiz D.
(Face Injury)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Barrios I.
(Injury)
Romagnoli J.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Cienciano?
Cusco has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Cusco?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Cienciano were as follows:
28.09.2024
Cienciano
-
Cusco
1:2
27.04.2024
Cusco
-
Cienciano
2:0
16.07.2023
Cusco
-
Cienciano
0:0
10.02.2023
Cienciano
-
Cusco
2:0
14.01.2023
Cusco
-
Cienciano
1:1
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
