Result
1:1
03/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (229/289) | 89% (518/584) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (229/289) | 89% (518/584) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 69% (37/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (50/67) | 79% (147/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 22% (8/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Shalaby M. ⚽, Madbouli A. (A),
- 31', Zizo ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 45', Eid A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bouchama S. ↓, Ibrahim M. ↑,
- 65', Kouka A. ↓, Ieltsin Camoes ↑,
- 66', Attia M. ↓, Dieng A. ↑,
- 66', Eid A. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
- 73', Madbouli A. ↓, Annor Y. ↑,
- 76', Annor Y. 🟨,
- 77', Oufa 🟨,
- 77', El Shahat H. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Trezeguet ⚽, El Shahat H. (A),
- 88', El Balouti A. 🟨,
- 88', Shalaby M. ↓, El Nadry A. ↑,
- 89', Reda A. ↓, El Zenary M. ↑,
- 89', Otaka M. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
- 90+3', Simpore S. ↓, Fathi M. ↑,
Chances of winning
National Bank of Egypt
20.1% | Draw
30.9% | Al Ahly Cairo
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
National Bank of Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ahly Cairo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Bank of Egypt than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.6 ↓
(4.88) |
2.99 ↓
(3.83) |
1.89 ↑
(1.64) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - National Bank (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al Ahly Cairo will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Ahly Cairo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. National Bank (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Al Ahly (votes: 10 - 90.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, National Bank won 1.
- Recent performances by National Bank have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al Ahly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al Ahly is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, National Bank won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, National Bank won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has National Bank of Egypt won against Al Ahly Cairo?
National Bank of Egypt has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against National Bank of Egypt?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
17.05.2025
Al Ahly Cairo
-
National Bank of Egypt
2:1
01.12.2024
National Bank of Egypt
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:0
01.08.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
National Bank of Egypt
1:0
12.03.2024
National Bank of Egypt
-
Al Ahly Cairo
4:3
29.06.2023
National Bank of Egypt
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:3
Latest results of National Bank of Egypt
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
