Result
2:1
09/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 2.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (275/343) | 88% (471/537) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (275/343) | 88% (471/537) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 61% (37/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (50/73) | 80% (163/203) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Atef M. ⚽, Camacho M. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Reyad H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Ouro-Agoro I. 🟨,
- 59', Otaka M. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Khaled Ramadan ⚽,
- 66', Attia M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
- 67', Omran R. ↓, Mostafa Y. ↑,
- 74', Khaled Ramadan ↓, Souissi H. ↑,
- 77', Bencharki A. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 85', Atef M. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
- 85', Tarek A. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 85', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Khaled H. ↑,
- 86', Souissi H. 🟨,
- 90+2', Mostafa Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tala`ea El-Gaish
12.6% | Draw
25.8% | Al Ahly Cairo
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tala`ea El-Gaish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.4 ↑
(6.72) |
3.62 ↑
(3.59) |
1.51 ↓
(1.54) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - El-Gaish (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - El-Gaish (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al Ahly Cairo will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Ahly Cairo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. El-Gaish (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Al Ahly (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- El-Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
- Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 2.
- Recent performances by El-Gaish have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al Ahly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tala`ea El-Gaish won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Tala`ea El-Gaish has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Tala`ea El-Gaish?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
15.01.2026
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
1:2
24.03.2025
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
Al Ahly Cairo
3:1
05.03.2025
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
2:0
08.07.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
2:0
01.07.2024
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:4
Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | ZED | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 39 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 30 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 17 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
