Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 26
- Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (235/315) | 75% (290/387) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 3.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (235/315) | 75% (290/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (17/41) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/90) | 73% (109/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.95 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 58 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.26 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Velupillay N. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Piper C. ⚽, Sutton S. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Machach Z. ⚽, Velupillay N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 3, Vergos N. ⚽,
- 56', Sheridan M. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 56', Ishige H. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
- 56', Nagasawa K. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 56', Teague R. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 57', Jackson L. 🟨,
- 65', Arzani D. ↓, Badolato A. ↑,
- 65', Roderick ↓, Hamill B. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Retre P. ⚽,
- 78', Hamill B. 🟨,
- 79', Ishige H. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
- 80', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
22% | Draw
22.4% | Melbourne Victory
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↓
(4.75) |
4.2 ↑
(3.86) |
1.7 ↑
(1.69) |
5.9%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Wellington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
Geraldes F.
(Inactive)
Kelly-Heald A.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Clarismario
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:28 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne Victory?
Wellington Phoenix has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
14.02.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
23.11.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
18.05.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
12.05.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:0
12.04.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Adelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Perth Glory | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | WS Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Auckland FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Sydney FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Macarthur FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
