Result
0:1
02/05/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (315/415) | 78% (322/415) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (315/415) | 78% (322/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 33% (23/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (111/165) | 57% (44/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 57% (17/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Quintal T. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 68', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,
- 71', Clarismario ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 77', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Wood P. ↑,
- 78', Kamijo W. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 1, Wood P. ⚽,
- 81', Akon A. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,
- 84', Mata J. ↓, D'Arrigo L. ↑,
- 84', Nduka C. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
- 84', Velupillay N. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 85', Wood P. 🟨,
- 89', Genreau D. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 90+5', Arslan A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
46.3% | Draw
25.6% | Sydney
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-1%)
Melbourne Victory - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.01) |
3.66 ↓
(3.75) |
3.37 ↓
(3.46) |
5.8%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Melbourne Victory might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Inserra J.
(Inactive)
Reec J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sydney: Grant A.
(Inactive)
Lolley J.
(Ankle Injury)
Tisserand M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:38. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Sydney?
Melbourne Victory has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Melbourne Victory?
Sydney has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Sydney were as follows:
07.03.2026
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
2:2
26.01.2026
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
4:0
22.11.2025
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
24.01.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
2:0
28.12.2024
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
