Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
23/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.651.77
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
278
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
83% (419/504)71% (216/303)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.651.77
xG on target (xGOT)
4.051.04
Total shots
278
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
214
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
4611
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
83% (419/504)71% (216/303)
Long passes
41% (23/56)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
70% (123/176)45% (23/51)
Crosses
23% (7/31)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.930.39
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
1416
Tackles
80% (20/25)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6654
Clearances
939
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.044.05
Goals prevented
0.040.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Skytta N. ,
  • 11', 2 - 0, Skytta N. , Sahin S. (A),
  • 14', Joly P. , Abiama D. ,
  • 28', 2 - 1, Bernhardsson A. (Pen),
  • 34', Schwab S. 🟨,
  • 37', 3 - 1, Haas M. ,
  • 38', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 42', Kunze F. 🟨,
  • 42', Gyamfi M. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 4 - 1, Skytta N. , Ritter M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 55', Muller M. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 55', Schwab S. , Knudsen M. ,
  • 58', Gyamfi M. , Elvedi J. ,
  • 67', Therkelsen J. , Nekic I. ,
  • 67', Kapralik A. , Harres P. ,
  • 71', Bernhardsson A. 🟨,
  • 79', Bernhardsson A. , Roslyng F. ,
  • 87', Skytta N. , Hanslik D. ,
  • 87', Kunze F. , Hofmeister D. ,
  • 87', Ritter M. , Raschl T. ,
  • 90', Roslyng F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kaiserslautern
40.9%
Draw
27.5%
Holstein Kiel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 27.1% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.8% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaiserslautern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.25)
    3.45
    (3.48)
    2.97
    (3.06)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kaiserslautern: 17.8%64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kaiserslautern (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Kaiserslautern (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Kaiserslautern (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Kaiserslautern (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 3.
    • Kaiserslautern has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Asta S. (Knee Injury) Kim Ji-Soo (Muscle Injury) Redondo K. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kapralik A. (Injury) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kaiserslautern: Haas M. (Illness)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kaiserslautern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern 1:3
    26.11.2023 Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel 0:3
    04.02.2023 Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel 2:1
    Latest results of Kaiserslautern
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

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