Result
3:2
26/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1 |
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Australia | 10 Play |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 France | CANAL+ Sport 360, New World TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | Marca |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (235/309) | 85% (398/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (235/309) | 85% (398/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/66) | 41% (15/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (76/122) | 79% (121/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 3.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Al Fatil M. (A),
- 45+1', Al Sulaiheem A. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Vargas M. ⚽, Sbai A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Al Sulaiheem A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
- 53', Masoud N. 🟨,
- 54', Otavio 🟨,
- 56', Simakan M. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
- 63', Baattia S. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
- 63', Masoud N. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
- 64', Qasim H. ↓, Al Zarie H. ↑,
- 64', Al Dohaim A. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
- 70', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
- 70', Yahya A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Mane S. ⚽, Boushal N. (A),
- 79', Al Najdi S. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Batna M. ⚽,
- 83', Batna M. 🟨,
- 85', Sbai A. ↓, Al Anazi A. ↑,
- 90+3', Saadane M. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Machado M. ⚽,
- 90+7', Machado M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
12.1% | Draw
14.9% | Al-Nassr Riyadh
73% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Fateh's form might have worsened.Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nassr Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Fateh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.83 ↑
(4.95) |
6.35 ↑
(4.88) |
1.28 ↓
(1.49) |
6.8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Nassr has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:42. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al Fateh has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al Fateh?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
26.01.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
3:1
17.02.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
2:1
25.08.2023
Al Fateh
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:5
31.05.2023
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
3:0
03.02.2023
Al Fateh
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:2
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 79:35 | 44 | 83 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:41 | 54 | 75 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 80:38 | 42 | 70 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 67 |
| 6 | Al Shabab | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 65:41 | 24 | 60 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Al Taawon | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 40 |
| 10 | Al Fateh | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:61 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Fayha | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 27:49 | -22 | 36 |
| 14 | Damac | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Al Wehda | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:67 | -25 | 33 |
| 17 | Al Orubah | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 31:74 | -43 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Raed | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41:66 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
