Result
1:0
26/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Australia | Channel 10 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
China | QQ Sports |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Hungary | Spiler1 TV |
Mexico | FOX One |
Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (410/464) | 76% (253/331) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (410/464) | 76% (253/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 23% (11/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (130/166) | 43% (31/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Al Nasser S. 🟨,
- 31', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
- 33', Brozovic M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Al Dossari M. (Own goal),
- 45+5', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Al Alaeli M. 🟨,
- 63', Al Aqel M. S. M. ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
- 63', Al Alaeli M. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 68', Al Nasser S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
- 68', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
- 79', Fulgini A. ↓, Bahusayn A. ↑,
- 87', Victor Hugo ↓, Adam A. ↑,
- 89', Mane S. ↓, Al Amri A. ↑,
- 89', Coman K. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
- 90+1', Simakan M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mahzari M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Boushal N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
- 90+6', El Mahdioui A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh 73.8% | Draw 15% | Al-Taawoun 11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.25 ↓ (1.3) |
6.26 ↑ (5.28) |
8.31 ↓ (8.99) |
8.3% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.75 - Al-Nassr (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Al-Nassr (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Al-Nassr is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Taawoun?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Taawoun has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun were as follows:
29.08.2025
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:5
16.05.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Taawoun
1:1
17.01.2025
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
1:1
29.10.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Taawoun
0:1
14.08.2024
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:2
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Taawoun
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1