Athletico Paranaense vs Operário Ferroviario – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ligga Arena (Curitiba).

Serie B Superbet - Round 29
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	0.43
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
8	16
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
73% (207/282)	88% (432/493)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	0.29
Total shots
8	16
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	3
Shots outside the Box
3	13
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
16	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	5
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
73% (207/282)	88% (432/493)
Long passes
44% (23/52)	55% (31/56)
Passes in final third
58% (54/93)	68% (73/107)
Crosses
50% (2/4)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.30
Throw-ins
16	23
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
29% (4/14)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
40	37
Clearances
23	26
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
0.29	1.02
Goals prevented
0.29	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Benavidez G. ⚽, Patrick (A),
35', Boschilia 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kleiton ↑,
54', Neto Paraiba ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
60', Luiz Fernando ↓, Julimar ↑,
61', Leozinho ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
68', Benavidez G. 🟨,
69', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
70', Diogo Mateus ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
74', Patrick 🟨,
75', Leo Gaucho ↓, Ademilson ↑,
75', Indio ↓, Daniel Amorim ↑,
81', Arthur Dias ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
90', Zapelli B. ↓, Felipinho ↑,
90', Patrick ↓, Raul ↑,
90+3', Felipinho 🟨,
90+5', Giraldo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Athletico Paranaense
59.3%

Draw
26.3%

Operário Ferroviario
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	6.4 ↑ (5.45)	6.4% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of away games.
In this match, Athletico PR is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Joao Cruz (Inactive) Leo Derik (Inactive)
There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Filipe Claudino (Injury) Matheus Souza (Inactive) Talles (Inactive) Thales Oleques (Inactive)
There are questionable in Operário PR: Leo Cittadini (Injury) Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury) Thiaguinho (Inactive)
We predict that Athletico PR will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Operário Ferroviario?

Athletico Paranaense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Athletico Paranaense?

Operário Ferroviario has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:

01.06.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense 2:2

22.01.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 1:1

27.03.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 1:0

16.03.2024 Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense 1:2

15.02.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 0:0

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

24.09.2025 Athletic Club - Athletico Paranaense 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova 2:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense 2:3 ✺

10.09.2025 Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Operário Ferroviario

24.09.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas 2:1 ✺

18.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺

07.09.2025 América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario 1:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba 1:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Criciuma	28	14	7	7	36:21	15	49
2	Goias	28	14	7	7	34:26	8	49
3	Athletico-PR	29	14	6	9	43:36	7	48
4	Coritiba	28	13	8	7	28:19	9	47
5	Novorizontino	28	12	10	6	31:25	6	46
6	Cuiaba	28	11	9	8	34:32	2	42
7	Chapecoense-SC	28	12	5	11	38:29	9	41
8	Atletico GO	28	10	11	7	31:28	3	41
9	CRB	28	12	4	12	31:26	5	40
10	Avai	28	10	10	8	36:30	6	40
11	Operario-PR	29	10	9	10	31:28	3	39
12	Remo	28	9	12	7	29:26	3	39
13	Vila Nova FC	28	10	7	11	28:30	-2	37
14	Ferroviaria	28	7	12	9	31:35	-4	33
15	Athletic Club	28	9	5	14	29:38	-9	32
16	America MG	28	8	6	14	27:34	-7	30
17	Volta Redonda	28	7	9	12	18:29	-11	30
18	Botafogo SP	28	7	8	13	24:42	-18	29
19	Amazonas	28	6	9	13	28:41	-13	27
20	Paysandu PA	28	4	10	14	21:33	-12	22

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )