Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 38
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (309/353) | 86% (337/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (309/353) | 86% (337/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (23/42) | 64% (35/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (51/74) | 69% (58/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Thauan 🟨,
- 40', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Joao Cruz ⚽, Viveros K. (A),
- 45+2', Willian Bigode 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Yago Santos ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
- 70', Joao Cruz 🟨,
- 70', Gustavo 🟨,
- 74', Joao Cruz ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 75', Emerson Santos ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 83', Felipinho ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 83', Julimar ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 87', Willian Bigode ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
- 87', Julio Cesar ↓, Samuel ↑,
- 87', Thauan ↓, David da Hora ↑,
- 90', Viveros K. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 90', Zapelli B. ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
64.1% | Draw
23.2% | América Mineiro
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.45) |
4.1 ↓
(4.11) |
7.72 ↑
(7.22) |
6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - América MG (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
- Athletico PR has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- América MG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Benavidez G.
(Yellow Cards)
Dudu Kogitzki
(Inactive)
Esquivel L.
(Inactive)
Isaac
(Knee Injury)
Leozinho
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Aloisio
(Thigh Injury)
Heber
(Inactive)
Maguinho
(Pelvis Injury)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Ortiz C.
(Inactive)
Yago Souza
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Leo Derik
(Injury)
- There are questionable in América MG: Fabinho
(Inactive)
- We predict that Athletico PR will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against América Mineiro?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletico Paranaense?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro were as follows:
27.07.2025
América Mineiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:2
25.10.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
América Mineiro
3:2
11.06.2023
América Mineiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
