Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Aquino ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Serpa
61.6% | Draw
20.8% | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serpa's performance.Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama Vidigueira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serpa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama Vidigueira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Serpa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.69) |
4.36 ↑
(3.88) |
5.16 ↑
(3.86) |
10.4%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Serpa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vasco da Gama's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Serpa is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Vasco da Gama Vidigueira?
Serpa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama Vidigueira won against Serpa?
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serpa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira were as follows:
17.03.2024
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
-
Serpa
1:0
03.12.2023
Serpa
-
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1:2
12.02.2023
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
-
Serpa
1:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Malveira | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Serpa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Oriental | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Alverca B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Sintrense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Moncarapachense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Portimonense B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Industria | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | GD Alcochetense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Lagoa | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
