Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 26
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 🟥,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Oriental
44% | Draw
29% | Serpa
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriental has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriental that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oriental - Serpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.31) |
3.1 ↓
(3.28) |
3.34 ↑
(2.74) |
11.1%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Oriental is Relegated to
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriental won against Serpa?
Oriental has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Oriental?
Serpa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oriental - Serpa were as follows:
21.12.2025
Serpa
-
Oriental
1:2
14.01.2024
Oriental
-
Serpa
0:3
27.08.2023
Serpa
-
Oriental
0:1
Latest results of Oriental
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | -23 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | -25 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
