Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports
usaUsaAym Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2913
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
2913
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
199
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Sanchez J. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Camacho Lastra R. E. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 31', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
  • 33', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Munoz Z. , Aguilar M. ,
  • 46', Chavez A. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 49', Torres U. 🟨,
  • 58', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 62', Reyes J. , Ballesteros O. ,
  • 63', Lopez R. , Flores L. ,
  • 63', Rivera E. , Fierro C. ,
  • 69', Camacho Lastra R. E. , Carreon A. ,
  • 74', Garcia B. D. O. , Lorona L. ,
  • 74', Cardona U. , Machado J. ,
  • 76', Flores B. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 76', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Perez J. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Ocon L. , Ballesteros O. (A),
  • 90+3', Ballesteros O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tepatitlán de Morelos
45.9%
Draw
26.6%
Leones Negros UdeG
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 27.2% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 25.9% 25.7%

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.01
(2.02)
3.46
(3.41)
3.34
(3.43)
8.6%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Leones Negros UdeG (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 1.
    • Tepatitlán is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leones Negros UdeG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tepatitlán is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:1
    24.04.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG 2:1
    28.02.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG 1:1
    15.09.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:0
    10.04.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos 3:2
    Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia22006:066
    2Atletico La Paz21105:234
    3Tapatio21106:424
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos21102:114
    5Zacatecas Mineros21015:323
    6Venados21016:513
    7Cancun21013:213
    8Irapuato21015:503
    9Leones Negros21015:503
    10Dorados de Sinaloa21013:4-13
    11Tlaxcala21012:4-23
    12Atlante10101:101
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca10010:3-30
    14Jaiba Brava20021:5-40
    15Correcaminos20020:6-60

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)