Result
2:0
26/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Gomez J. 🟨,
- 31', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 33', Charcopa J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez S. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 51', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 55', Gomez J. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
- 58', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 58', Ibarra J. ↓, Pizzuto E. ↑,
- 63', Venegas J. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Escoto A. ⚽, Islas O. (A),
- 70', Calzadilla L. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 70', Charcopa J. ↓, Puente L. ↑,
- 73', Dominguez I. 🟨,
- 76', Beltran R. 🟨,
- 76', Gutierrez G. 🟨,
- 76', Islas O. 🟨,
- 76', Puente L. 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 84', Islas O. ↓, De La Torre K. ↑,
- 84', Reyes J. ↓, Samano Salgado F. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Aguilar D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+8', Jimenez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
38% | Draw
29% | Atlante
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.66) |
3.21 ↓
(3.22) |
2.82 ↑
(2.5) |
7.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-2. Second leg.
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Atlante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Atlante?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlante has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante were as follows:
23.04.2026
Atlante
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
10.01.2026
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlante
1:1
15.11.2025
Atlante
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:1
12.11.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlante
1:0
02.08.2025
Atlante
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:1
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Atlante
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final
