Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/08/2025 at  19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6
 
                                                - Referee: Cori V. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.55 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 65% | 35% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 91% (535/591) | 82% (252/306) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.55 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.22 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 16 | 12 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 91% (535/591) | 82% (252/306) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 41% (18/44) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 62% (46/74) | 58% (38/65) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 25% (4/16) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.33 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 16 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 63% (5/8) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 37 | 30 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 23 | 26 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.41 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.41 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 25', 1 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Valenzuela O. (A), 
 - 44', Ysique F. 🟨, 
 - 45', Gamarra C. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 56', Ysique F. ↓, Espinosa R. ↑, 
 - 58', Perleche E. 🟨, 
 - 65', Olmedo L. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑, 
 - 65', Illanes F. ↓, Castro R. ↑, 
 - 77', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑, 
 - 78', Ampuero A. 🟨, 
 - 78', Guzman P. 🟨, 
 - 82', Benincasa H. ↓, Diaz R. ↑, 
 - 82', Perez J. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑, 
 - 82', Silva N. ↓, Tevez J. ↑, 
 - 87', Zevallos J. 🟨, 
 - 89', Callejo F. ↓, Milesi A. ↑, 
 - 89', Da Silva P. ↓, Aoki A. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Cusco  67.2% | Draw  21.2% | Alianza Atlético  11.6% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cusco - Alianza Atlético Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.39 ↑ (1.38) | 
			   4.43 ↓ (4.7) | 
			   8.05 ↑ (7.9) | 
			   7% (6.7%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Cusco - Alianza Atlético?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            10 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 10 - 100%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Cusco: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.
 - Cusco is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
 - Alianza Atlético has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - In this match, Cusco is the undisputed favorite.
 - There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Lupu H.
(Red Card)
 - There are questionable in Cusco: Colitto L.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Espinosa R.
(Injury)
del Castillo J.
(Injury)
 - We predict that Cusco will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
 - In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Alianza Atlético?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cusco has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Cusco?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Atlético has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
                                                        
                                28.03.2025 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Cusco 
                                2:4
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.08.2024 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Cusco 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.03.2024 
                                Cusco 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.07.2023 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Cusco 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.02.2023 
                                Cusco 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Atlético                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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