Alianza Atlético vs Atlético Grau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana).

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.90	0.85
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
6	5
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
3	7
Passes
76% (245/324)	66% (131/198)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.90	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.23	1.70
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked shots
3	1
Shots inside the box
11	6
Shots outside the box
6	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
19	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
22	6
Passes
76% (245/324)	66% (131/198)
Long passes
45% (26/58)	43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
57% (57/100)	42% (26/62)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.27
Throw ins
19	17
Fouls
6	22
Tackles
64% (9/14)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
53	36
Clearances
14	41
Interceptions
1	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.70	2.23
Goals prevented
-0.30	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Fernandez S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Tapia R. ⚽, Neira C. (A),
45+2', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Fernandez S. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Lupu H. ⚽, Larios Saavedra G. A. (A),
56', 1 - 2, Camargo I. ⚽,
62', Guarderas R. 🟨,
65', Franco E. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
65', Neira C. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
65', Diaz G. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
65', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
66', Penilla C. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
79', Camargo I. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
90+1', Lupu H. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, del Castillo J. ⚽, Perleche E. (A),
90+5', Rodriguez D. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
90+5', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
90+6', Torres S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Alianza Atlético
43.3%

Draw
32%

Atlético Grau
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.7%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.81)	2.89 ↓ (3.22)	3.81 ↓ (4.57)	7.2% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Alianza Atlético could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Atlético Grau?

Alianza Atlético has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Atlético?

Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau were as follows:

02.11.2025 Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético 1:1

29.06.2025 Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau 2:1

14.07.2024 Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau 0:0

28.01.2024 Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético 1:1

08.10.2023 Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético 1:1

Latest results of Alianza Atlético

22.03.2026 Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético 1:1 ✺

15.03.2026 Alianza Atlético - Moquegua 3:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 3:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:0 ✺

27.02.2026 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Grau

22.03.2026 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0 ✺

15.03.2026 FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau 0:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Atlético Grau - Cajamarca 1:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau 3:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College 1:2 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	12	9	2	1	22:5	17	29
2	Los Chankas	12	9	2	1	21:14	7	29
3	Cienciano	12	7	2	3	26:16	10	23
4	U. de Deportes	12	6	3	3	18:12	6	21
5	Comerciantes Unidos	12	5	4	3	17:15	2	19
6	Cusco	12	6	1	5	15:19	-4	19
7	FBC Melgar	12	5	2	5	18:16	2	17
8	Cajamarca	12	4	4	4	18:18	0	16
9	Moquegua	12	5	1	6	14:18	-4	16
10	Juan Pablo II	12	4	3	5	18:27	-9	15
11	Sporting Cristal	12	4	2	6	20:20	0	14
12	Alianza Atl	12	3	5	4	11:11	0	14
13	AD Tarma	12	3	4	5	15:15	0	13
14	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	3	4	5	12:16	-4	13
15	Sport Huancayo	12	3	3	6	14:18	-4	12
16	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	11:16	-5	12
17	Grau	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
18	FC Cajamarca	12	1	3	8	13:22	-9	6

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