Result
3:3
26/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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11 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Total shots |
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11 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 9 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 10 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Samano L. ⚽, Cardona U. (A),
- 26', Venegas J. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽, Duran L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 55', De Los Rios S. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 63', Garcia D. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 68', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 73', Avila J. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
- 73', Espinosa B. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 2, Ballesteros O. ⚽,
- 82', Lopez F. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 82', Razo L. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 84', Samano L. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 84', Mendoza A. 🟨,
- 84', Aguilar D. ↓, Munoz Z. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Ocon L. (Own goal),
- 90+3', Gomez J. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 90+3', Aguilar M. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Chavez A. ⚽, Machado J. (A),
Chances of winning
Mineros de Zacatecas 54.3% | Draw 25.5% | Tepatitlán de Morelos 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.72) |
3.73 ↑ (3.72) |
4.68 ↑ (4.31) |
5.4% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tepatitlán will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mineros de Zacatecas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mineros de Zacatecas is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Zacatecas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mineros de Zacatecas won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Mineros de Zacatecas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Mineros de Zacatecas?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
19.04.2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:2
02.11.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
1:1
15.02.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
1:1
19.11.2023
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
5:2
16.11.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
0:2
Latest results of Mineros de Zacatecas
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)