Atlético Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 3
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
123
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
176
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
135
Corner kicks
123

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Padilla P. , Rios P. ,
  • 24', del Campo R. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, del Campo R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 59', Lopez F. , Perez M. ,
  • 59', Machado J. , Cervantes L. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Magana K. (Own goal),
  • 76', Rios P. , Avila J. ,
  • 78', Flores A. , Munoz Z. ,
  • 78', Marmolejo D. 🟨,
  • 84', Cervantes L. 🟨,
  • 85', Nambo M. , Moreno G. ,
  • 85', Martinez J. , Figueroa B. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Morelia
51.5%
Draw
25.7%
Mineros de Zacatecas
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 25.9% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 26.3% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.85)
    3.6
    (3.55)
    4.05
    (3.77)
    8.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 1.
    • Atlético Morelia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mineros de Zacatecas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético Morelia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas were as follows:
    22.04.2026 Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético Morelia 3:0
    06.02.2026 Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético Morelia 1:1
    30.08.2025 Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas 3:0
    05.04.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético Morelia 1:1
    17.10.2024 Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas 0:0
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Latest results of Mineros de Zacatecas
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos (1)Atlante (8)2 : 0, 0 : 2
    2Atl. Morelia (3)Zacatecas Mineros (6)2 : 0, 0 : 3
    3Cancun (2)Tapatio (7)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Atletico La Paz (4)Jaiba Brava (5)1 : 2, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos (1)Zacatecas Mineros (6)1 : 1
    2Cancun (2)Jaiba Brava (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2