Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 9
- Referee: Torres Cajax A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Chile | Zapping Sports |
Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (364/413) | 83% (215/260) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (364/413) | 83% (215/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (30/50) | 46% (16/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (101/131) | 64% (43/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
- 22', Formento R. 🟨,
- 22', Estupinan L. 🟨,
- 27', Davila E. 🟨,
- 30', Carrillo R. 🟨,
- 41', Angulo C. 🟨,
- 45+5', Anaya J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Johan Bocanegra 🟨,
- 48', Peralta K. 🟨,
- 59', Fernandez L. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
- 62', Peralta K. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
- 62', Angulo C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 62', Davila E. ↓, Gamboa M. ↑,
- 67', Ibarra R. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
- 68', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
- 76', Velasco K. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
- 83', Estupinan L. ↓, Arce K. ↑,
- 83', Majao J. ↓, Chilla R. ↑,
- 90+1', Orejuela C. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Mina F. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
- 90+6', Mina F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa 44.2% | Draw 29.3% | Técnico Universitario 26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mushuc Runa's form might have worsened.Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (1.83) |
3.15 ↓ (3.26) |
3.48 ↓ (4.28) |
8.1% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mushuc Runa could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Técnico Universitario?
Mushuc Runa has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Mushuc Runa?
Técnico Universitario has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario were as follows:
22.11.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
01.11.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
27.07.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
06.04.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
30.09.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Mushuc Runa
2:2
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Delfin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5:6 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Emelec | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Manta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4:14 | -10 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )