Toronto FC vs DC United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.39
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
82% (336/408)80% (349/434)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.472.14
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
82% (336/408)80% (349/434)
Long passes
46% (23/50)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
72% (100/139)60% (54/90)
Crosses
20% (3/15)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.70
Throw-ins
1123
Fouls
1317
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5441
Clearances
3321
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.141.47
Goals prevented
2.140.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Insigne L. , Corbeanu T. (A),
  • 63', Kijima H. , Leal R. ,
  • 63', Stroud J. , Murrell J. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Bartlett L. (Own goal),
  • 71', Boris Enow , Peltola M. ,
  • 71', Antley C. , Zouhir R. ,
  • 73', Coello A. , Longstaff M. ,
  • 73', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 81', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 82', Bernardeschi F. , Spicer T. ,
  • 85', Servania B. , Barajas F. ,
  • 90+1', Dominguez M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
40%
Draw
27.6%
DC United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 26.4% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Toronto FC - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.32)
    3.43
    (3.62)
    2.94
    (2.93)
    5.1%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). DC United will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for DC United: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - DC United (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - DC United (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): DC United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. DC United (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • DC United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Etienne D. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Bartlett L. (Calf Injury) Gabriel Pirani (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - DC United were as follows:
    22.02.2025 DC United - Toronto FC 2:2
    31.08.2024 Toronto FC - DC United 1:3
    01.06.2024 DC United - Toronto FC 2:2
    27.05.2023 Toronto FC - DC United 2:1
    25.02.2023 DC United - Toronto FC 3:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of DC United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

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