New York City vs Nashville SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
82% (339/411)84% (290/345)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.88
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
82% (339/411)84% (290/345)
Long passes
36% (12/33)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)58% (32/55)
Crosses
7% (1/14)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.73
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (18/24)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
1022
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.880.90
Goals prevented
-0.12-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Shaffelburg J. , Mukhtar H. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Perea A. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 58', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 64', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 68', Perez J. , Carleton A. ,
  • 73', Tagseth E. , Brugman G. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Martinez A. , Ojeda A. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 80', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 80', Maher J. , Zimmerman W. ,
  • 80', Shaffelburg J. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 82', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 82', Surridge S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez A. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 90+4', Perea A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
38.9%
Draw
27.1%
Nashville SC
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 27.7% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • New York City - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.25)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    2.8
    (3.1)
    5.7%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New York City - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in NY City: Thiago Martins (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Muyl A. (Yellow Cards) Schmitt T. (Hamstring Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Gray T. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Nashville SC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2
    06.10.2024 New York City - Nashville SC 3:1
    22.06.2024 Nashville SC - New York City 1:0
    15.04.2023 New York City - Nashville SC 2:1
    25.02.2023 Nashville SC - New York City 2:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

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