Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (237/337) | 75% (235/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (237/337) | 75% (235/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (54/110) | 73% (82/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.66 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Verges J. 🟨,
- 20', Quinonez O. 🟨,
- 30', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 0, Quinonez J. ⚽, Corozo W. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Corozo W. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 56', Munoz E. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
- 58', Quinonez A. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 58', Verges J. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 58', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Avila D. ⚽, Bardales W. (A),
- 67', Montano J. 🟨,
- 71', Solis M. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
- 78', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 82', Ayovi W. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
- 87', Caicedo N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zambrano I. 🟨,
- 90+9', Jhon Sanchez 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec
52.6% | Draw
26.4% | Libertad Loja
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Emelec - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.98) |
3.5 ↑
(3.21) |
4.37 ↑
(3.8) |
7.8%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Emelec is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Emelec won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Libertad Loja?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Emelec?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Libertad Loja were as follows:
30.11.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Emelec
2:1
01.06.2024
Emelec
-
Libertad Loja
0:0
04.08.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Emelec
0:0
26.02.2023
Emelec
-
Libertad Loja
2:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:18 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 35:19 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 7 | 35 |
| 4 | Orense | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 23:17 | 6 | 32 |
| 6 | Aucas | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Libertad | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29:26 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Delfin | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 23 |
| 11 | Manta | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 27:33 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Macara | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 22 |
| 14 | Emelec | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 16 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Emelec - Libertad Loja?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
