Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (236/298) | 84% (295/353) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (236/298) | 84% (295/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 65% (31/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/80) | 71% (72/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Quintero S. 🟨,
- 56', Caicedo R. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Fragozo L. ⚽, Klimowicz L. (A),
- 62', Pretell J. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 62', Gomez A. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
- 62', Ortiz P. ↓, Quinonez L. ↑,
- 66', Caicedo J. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
- 73', Klimowicz L. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
- 73', Fragozo L. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
- 73', Mina A. ↓, Guerrico I. ↑,
- 73', Alvarado A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 83', Sanchez V. 🟥,
- 85', Cevallos J. ↓, Segura E. ↑,
- 90+2', Mina A. ↓, Napoli G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Emelec
45.4% | Draw
28.4% | LDU Quito
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Emelec - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.54) |
3.26 ↑
(3.23) |
3.55 ↑
(2.63) |
7.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
Emelec will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.
- Recent form of Emelec has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- LDU Quito is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Emelec could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against LDU Quito?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Emelec?
LDU Quito has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - LDU Quito were as follows:
03.12.2025
LDU Quito
-
Emelec
1:1
17.11.2025
Emelec
-
LDU Quito
1:2
12.07.2025
LDU Quito
-
Emelec
2:0
03.11.2024
Emelec
-
LDU Quito
0:1
11.05.2024
LDU Quito
-
Emelec
2:2
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
