UPDF vs Bul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
30/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
22
Total shots
83
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
50
Corner kicks
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Ndugwa K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


UPDF
29.5%
Draw
31.6%
Bul
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 30% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 29.5% 40.3%

UPDF - Bul Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.06
(3.09)
2.86
(2.99)
2.32
(2.19)
10.8%
(11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
  • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 3.
  • UPDF is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • In recent matches, Bul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • UPDF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Bul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.6:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Bul were as follows:
04.12.2024 Bul - UPDF 0:2
12.03.2024 Bul - UPDF 0:1
09.11.2023 UPDF - Bul 2:0
21.02.2023 UPDF - Bul 1:1
Latest results of UPDF
21.01.2026 UPDF - Entebbe UPPC 0:1
07.01.2026 Kitara - UPDF 2:1
16.12.2025 UPDF - NEC FC 0:0
Latest results of Bul
27.01.2026 Lugazi Municipal - Bul 2:1
23.01.2026 Bul - Villa 2:1
07.01.2026 Calvary - Bul 0:1
16.12.2025 Bul - Police 1:3
13.12.2025 Vipers - Bul 3:1
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Vipers14113032:72536
2Entebbe UPPC1593317:9830
3Kampala City1593321:12930
4Villa1593324:101430
5Kitara1492321:111029
6Police1584326:161028
7NEC FC1548315:14120
8BUL1554614:16-219
9Maroons1546514:11318
10Express1544714:17-316
11Lugazi1536613:19-615
12Buhimba15411014:35-2113
13URA SC1527613:18-513
14Mbarara City1526713:25-1212
15UPDF15321012:24-1211
16Calvary1504116:25-194

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Big League