Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/355) | 82% (364/444) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/355) | 82% (364/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 55% (44/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (65/116) | 65% (55/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Gustavo Ferrareis 🟨,
- 35', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 38', Castaneda K. 🟨,
- 39', Tona I. 🟨,
- 41', Schlegel R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Hernandez S. (A),
- 61', Martinez J. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 61', Blanco D. ↓, Arciga R. ↑,
- 61', Tona I. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
- 62', Gomez A. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 63', Bilbao U. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
- 68', Rocha A. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
- 69', Gonzalez A. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 77', Ramirez P. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
- 77', Rivero I. ↓, Boya F. ↑,
- 78', Aguirre E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 83', Rodriguez J. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
- 90+2', Schlegel R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Abreu D. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Atlas
44.2% | Draw
27.7% | Tijuana
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The chances for Tijuana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The ML Model estimate for Atlas aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Atlas - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.1) |
3.37 ↑
(3.3) |
3.31 ↑
(3.3) |
7.1%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlas - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlas: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Atlas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Tijuana: Mora G.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Serrato J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Arciga R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Tijuana?
Atlas has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Atlas?
Tijuana has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Tijuana were as follows:
07.11.2025
Tijuana
-
Atlas
2:0
09.03.2025
Tijuana
-
Atlas
3:4
24.11.2024
Tijuana
-
Atlas
3:0
26.10.2024
Atlas
-
Tijuana
0:0
20.01.2024
Atlas
-
Tijuana
0:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
