Result
3:1
27/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Arce V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Usa | Estrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (250/327) | 75% (219/293) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (250/327) | 75% (219/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (48/75) | 46% (33/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Puma ⚽, Estupinan O. (A),
- 19', Ricardinho ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
- 24', Jurado S. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 36', Zaldivar E. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez P. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 56', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 🟨,
- 65', Zaldivar E. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
- 65', Aguirre E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 66', Monchu ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
- 66', Estupinan O. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
- 77', Hernandez S. 🟨,
- 82', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
- 83', Garcia D. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
- 83', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gamboa L. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Gustavo Ferrareis (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Juárez
46.1% | Draw
28.3% | Atlas
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Juárez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Juárez - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.98) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
3.68 ↑
(3.52) |
6.5%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juárez - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Atlas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Atlas (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlas (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 0.
- Juárez has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Juárez could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Juárez: Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Madson
(Injury)
Ochoa D.
(Injury)
Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Serrato J.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Atlas?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Juárez?
Atlas has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Atlas were as follows:
03.10.2025
Atlas
-
Juárez
3:1
05.04.2025
Atlas
-
Juárez
1:1
05.07.2024
Juárez
-
Atlas
2:2
28.01.2024
Atlas
-
Juárez
2:1
22.09.2023
Juárez
-
Atlas
1:2
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
