Result
2:1
04/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (271/356) | 67% (197/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (271/356) | 67% (197/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 46% (33/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (63/100) | 52% (61/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
- 37', Bolanos D. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Ayovi W. ⚽,
- 53', Caicedo E. 🟨,
- 57', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 59', Raggio E. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 59', Ordonez J. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Gomez A. (Own goal),
- 67', Chacon J. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 74', Ayovi W. 🟨,
- 75', Ayovi W. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 75', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 76', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
- 81', Estupinan L. ↓, Maccari M. ↑,
- 82', Bolanos D. ↓, Bardales W. ↑,
- 82', Monaga J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 90+6', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
35.5% | Draw
29.2% | Deportivo Cuenca
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.47) |
3.18 ↓
(3.24) |
2.63 ↓
(2.82) |
8.2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In recent matches, Libertad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Cuenca is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Libertad Loja?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
07.03.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Libertad Loja
0:1
23.11.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
27.05.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:0
12.08.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
03.03.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:1
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
