Result
4:1
04/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 7
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Chile | Zapping Sports |
Ecuador | Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (472/529) | 76% (226/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (472/529) | 76% (226/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 83% (70/84) | 30% (17/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (144/173) | 42% (25/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Anangono G. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Mero E. ⚽, Laurino S. (A),
- 41', Diaz D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Valencia E. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Londono A. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 65', Ladines Calvache E. P. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
- 65', Sambonino K. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 66', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 68', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 72', Diaz D. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Napa G. (Own goal),
- 78', Alonso M. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
- 78', Mejia E. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
- 84', Laurino S. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Rose E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 67.4% | Draw 20.3% | Guayaquil City 12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↓ (1.47) |
4.55 ↑ (4.23) |
7.64 ↑ (6.5) |
7.9% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
- Uni Católica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Guayaquil City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Uni Católica is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Guayaquil City?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Guayaquil City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City were as follows:
11.08.2023
Guayaquil City
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:0
05.03.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Guayaquil City
3:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Guayaquil City
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )