Result
3:2 penalties
14/02/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (352/449) | 71% (260/364) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (352/449) | 71% (260/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 36% (28/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/99) | 50% (52/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 39', 1 - 0, Erik ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Semba T. ⚽, Iida T. (A),
- 43', 1 - 2, Torikai Y. ⚽, Kato C. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Shoji G. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lavi N. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
- 61', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
- 61', Erik ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
- 62', Watanabe A. ↓, Gokita K. ↑,
- 68', Shoji G. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
- 70', Torikai Y. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
- 70', Semba T. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
- 79', Kato C. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
- 80', Omori S. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Hayashi K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Osaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Soma Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Yamashita Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Nakayama Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Gokita K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Shimoda H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nagao Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Dresevic I. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
61% | Draw
24% | Mito HollyHock
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.48) |
3.94 ↓
(4.1) |
6.32 ↓
(7.17) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 2.
- Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
Soma Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Gokita K.
(Yellow Cards)
Itakura K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Vasquez B.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Mito HollyHock?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Machida Zelvia?
Mito HollyHock has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
24.06.2023
Mito HollyHock
-
Machida Zelvia
1:1
12.03.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
Mito HollyHock
3:0
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
