Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Machida GION Stadium (Machida).

J1 League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.85	0.39
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
5	2
Passes
81% (350/431)	85% (407/479)
Expected goals (xG)
2.85	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.47	0.05
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked shots
5	0
Shots inside the box
12	4
Shots outside the box
4	0
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
28	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
8	6
Passes
81% (350/431)	85% (407/479)
Long passes
31% (17/55)	41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
64% (96/150)	76% (65/86)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	0.60
Throw ins
13	18
Fouls
6	8
Tackles
73% (11/15)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
38	31
Clearances
11	39
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.05	1.47
Goals prevented
0.05	0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
67', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
67', Segawa Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
68', Koizumi Y. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
68', Lavi N. ↓, Tokumura F. ↑,
68', Dresevic I. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Na Sang-Ho ⚽,
78', Toshima S. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
89', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
89', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Machida Zelvia
32%

Draw
30.2%

Kashiwa Reysol
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

30.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Kashiwa Reysol aligns with the current prediction.

Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	3.11 ↓ (3.12)	2.5 ↑ (2.47)	6% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury) Nishimura T. (Injury)
There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury) Konishi Y. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury) Yamada Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Soma Y. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Machida Zelvia?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

14.03.2026 Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia 0:1

06.12.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia 1:0

17.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol 3:0

19.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia 1:1

03.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol 2:0

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

05.04.2026 Tokyo - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

01.04.2026 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

28.03.2026 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

18.03.2026 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

05.04.2026 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:0 ✺

22.03.2026 Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock 3:0 ✺

18.03.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

06.03.2026 JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	10	8	0	2	0	18:7	26
2	FC Tokyo	11	5	3	2	1	19:10	23
3	Machida	11	5	3	1	2	17:16	22
4	Verdy	10	3	3	0	4	16:15	15
5	Kawasaki Frontale	10	3	2	1	4	16:19	14
6	Urawa Reds	10	3	0	3	4	14:15	12
7	Mito	10	1	3	3	3	13:19	12
8	Kashiwa Reysol	10	3	1	0	6	15:14	11
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	10	3	0	0	7	13:18	9
10	Chiba	10	2	0	3	5	10:18	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	11	7	1	2	1	23:12	25
2	Kyoto	10	4	2	1	3	17:12	17
3	Gamba Osaka	10	3	3	2	2	16:14	17
4	Shimizu S-Pulse	11	3	2	4	2	15:14	17
5	Nagoya Grampus	10	4	1	2	3	17:15	16
6	Cerezo Osaka	10	3	2	1	4	10:11	14
7	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10	3	2	0	5	15:14	13
8	V-Varen Nagasaki	10	4	0	0	6	10:15	12
9	Avispa Fukuoka	10	2	2	1	5	10:17	11
10	Okayama	10	2	1	3	4	11:20	11

      Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)