Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Toyota City).

J1 League - Round 13
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	1.00
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
75% (325/433)	80% (366/456)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	1.33
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
8	6
Hit the Woodwork
4	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
23	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
75% (325/433)	80% (366/456)
Long passes
37% (26/70)	48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
52% (65/125)	67% (64/96)
Crosses
20% (5/25)	0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.68
Throw-ins
28	25
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
55% (12/22)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
49	49
Clearances
10	38
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.33	0.12
Goals prevented
-0.67	-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Inagaki S. ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Yamada Y. ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
45', Diego 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shirai E. ↓, Kumasaka K. ↑,
46', Nakajima S. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Hosoya M. ⚽, Diego (A),
58', Diego ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
59', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
62', Shiihashi K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
62', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
62', Morishima T. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
74', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
77', Hosoya M. ↓, Koizumi Y. ↑,
84', Nogami Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
87', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Nagoya Grampus
38.2%

Draw
31.4%

Kashiwa Reysol
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

32.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4%)

Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.81)	2.99 ↑ (2.97)	3.08 ↑ (2.69)	6.1% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 3.
Nagoya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kashiwa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nagoya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Nagoya have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Nagoya: Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Junker K. (Inactive)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

14.07.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1

09.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0

05.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 1:1

16.03.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 0:2

03.12.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

25.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Kataller Toyama - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

26.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Fukushima United - Kashiwa Reysol 2:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League