Result
3:0
04/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (212/301) | 79% (364/458) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (212/301) | 79% (364/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (17/58) | 29% (13/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (63/101) | 71% (90/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.97 | -1.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽,
- 49', Inoue R. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
- 54', Sakata R. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
- 54', Inoue R. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 0, Izumi R. ⚽, Kimura Y. (A),
- 63', Nakajima M. 🟨,
- 68', Koda H. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 68', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
- 73', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 74', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 83', Homma S. 🟨,
- 85', Okuda H. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
- 89', Nogami Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 89', Izumi R. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 90+5', Morishima T. ↓, Uchida T. ↑,
- 90+7', Kimura Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
39% | Draw
26.7% | Cerezo Osaka
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nagoya Grampus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.18) |
3.5 ↓
(3.53) |
2.75 ↓
(3.16) |
6.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nagoya will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Yamagishi Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Cerezo Osaka?
Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Nagoya Grampus?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
04.10.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
08.03.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
30.06.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
21.04.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
26.08.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:1
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
