Gwangju vs Incheon United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/03/2026 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, ENA Sports, JTBC Golf&Sports

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
67
Corner kicks
13
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
612
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
05
Corner kicks
13
Offsides
23
Free kicks
2016
Fouls
1417

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Min Sang-Gi , Gong B. ,
  • 17', Ibiza 🟨,
  • 27', Kim Gun-Hee 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Choi Kyoung-Rok , Ju Se-Jong (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Oh H. , Kim Myung-soon (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Jeong Chi-In 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Shin Chang-Moo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 65', Park Jeong-In , Fridjonsson H. ,
  • 65', Ju Se-Jong , Kwon Sung-Yun ,
  • 70', Lee Myoung-Joo , Lee Dong-Ryul ,
  • 70', Jeong Chi-In , Undabarrena I. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Shin Chang-Moo , Ha Seung-Un (A),
  • 74', Fridjonsson H. 🟨,
  • 77', Oh H. , Lee Chung-Yong ,
  • 87', Moon Min-seo , Ahn Hyeok-Ju ,
  • 87', Ha Seung-Un , Kang Hui-Su ,
  • 87', Ibiza , Park Kyung-sub ,
  • 87', Kim Gun-Hee , Yeo Seung-Won ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Seo Jae-Min , Mugosa S. (A),
  • 90+13', Kim Myung-soon 🟨,
  • 90+17', Mugosa S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Gwangju
27%
Draw
32.9%
Incheon United
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 31.2% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwangju's form might have worsened.
  • Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Incheon United's recent form is better than expected.
  • Gwangju - Incheon United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.44)
    2.84
    (2.99)
    2.36
    (3.06)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Gwangju - Incheon United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Incheon will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Incheon: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Gwangju (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 0.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Incheon United were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Incheon United - Gwangju 1:0
    14.07.2024 Gwangju - Incheon United 0:2
    25.05.2024 Incheon United - Gwangju 1:1
    03.04.2024 Gwangju - Incheon United 2:3
    28.10.2023 Gwangju - Incheon United 0:2
    Latest results of Gwangju
    01.03.2026 Jeju - Gwangju 0:0
    30.11.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 0:1
    22.11.2025 Gwangju - Ulsan HD 2:0
    08.11.2025 Daegu - Gwangju 1:0
    Latest results of Incheon United
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Seoul541011:3813
    2Jeonbuk63218:5311
    3Ulsan HD53117:4310
    4Pohang62314:319
    5Incheon62138:10-27
    6Daejeon61326:606
    7Gangwon61326:606
    8Anyang61326:7-16
    9Bucheon FC 199561325:6-16
    10Gwangju FC61324:11-76
    11Gimcheon Sangmu60515:6-15
    12Jeju SK61234:7-35

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