Incheon United vs Gwangju – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Incheon United - Gwangju
Result
1:0
27/10/2024 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH KOREA: K League 1 - Relegation Group - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
worldWorldK League TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
99
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
36
Free Kicks
1116
Corner Kicks
68
Offsides
02
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
169
Yellow Cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Jeong J. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Mugosa S. ,
  • 35', Moon Min-seo , Jeong Ho-Yeon ,
  • 35', Jeong J. , Lee Heui-Kyun ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', Moon Ji-Hwan , Ji Eon-Hak ,
  • 75', Heo Yool , Lee G. ,
  • 75', Choi Kyoung-Rok , Shin Chang-Moo ,
  • 80', Hong Si-Hoo 🟨,
  • 82', Kim Dong-Min 🟨,
  • 85', Mugosa S. , Baek Min-gyu ,
  • 90+2', Kim Yeon-Soo , Oh Ban-Suk ,
  • 90+2', Hong Si-Hoo , Kim Jun-Yub ,
  • 90+3', Lee Bum-Soo 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/449yp8k3

Chances of winning


Incheon United
29.4%
Draw
29.8%
Gwangju
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 29.3% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 28.2% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Incheon United's form might have worsened.
  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gwangju's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Incheon United - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (2.71)
    3.14
    (3.25)
    2.31
    (2.67)
    6.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Incheon United - Gwangju?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gwangju will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Incheon won 3.
    • Incheon has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gwangju is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gwangju could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Incheon won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:28 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Incheon won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Incheon United - Gwangju were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Gwangju - Incheon United 0:2
    25.05.2024 Incheon United - Gwangju 1:1
    03.04.2024 Gwangju - Incheon United 2:3
    28.10.2023 Gwangju - Incheon United 0:2
    18.08.2023 Incheon United - Gwangju 2:2
    Latest results of Incheon United
    Latest results of Gwangju
    18.10.2024 Gwangju - Daegu 1:1
    06.10.2024 Gwangju - FC Seoul 3:1
    28.09.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju 2:0
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 29206352:232966
    2Gimcheon Sangmu29137945:321346
    3Daejeon29129839:37245
    4Pohang291361036:37-145
    5Gwangju FC291181032:32041
    6Gangwon291181029:32-341
    7Seoul291010937:38-140
    8Anyang291131537:39-236
    9Ulsan HD29981236:39-335
    10Suwon FC29871442:47-531
    11Jeju SK29871430:38-831
    12Daegu ✔ 29571733:54-2122

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )