Result
5:1
19/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Germany | Laola1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports |
 Switzerland | LAOLA1 |
 World | K League TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Jung Seung-Hyun ⚽, Marcao (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Shin Chang-Moo ⚽, Ahn Hyeok-Ju (A),
- 27', 2 - 1, Marcao ⚽, Lee Gyu-Seong (A),
- 37', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑,
- 39', Ju Se-Jong 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 57', 3 - 1, Marcao (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Yong-Wook K. 🟨,
- 63', Kim Jin-Ho ↓, Kwon Sung-Yun ↑,
- 63', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Hong Yong-Jun ↑,
- 63', Bojanic D. ↓, Lee Dong-Gyeong ↑,
- 64', Lee H. ↓, Lee Min-Hyuk ↑,
- 65', Sim Sang-Min 🟨,
- 69', Jang Si-Young ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 71', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Kim Yun-ho ↑,
- 71', Joung Ji-hun ↓, Seong Hyun P. ↑,
- 79', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Choi Seok-Hyun ↑,
- 79', Marcao ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
- 82', Lee Gyu-Seong 🟨,
- 84', Seong Hyun P. 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 1, Heo Yool ⚽, Lee Min-Hyuk (A),
- 90+4', 5 - 1, Lee Dong-Gyeong (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Ulsan HD
60.1% | Draw
23.9% | Gwangju
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Ulsan HD - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55
(1.55) |
3.94 ↓
(4.07) |
5.89 ↑
(5.61) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Gwangju?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Ulsan (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ulsan HD will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 2.
- Recent performances by Ulsan have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gwangju's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ulsan is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Gwangju?
Ulsan HD has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Ulsan HD?
Gwangju has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Gwangju were as follows:
22.11.2025
Gwangju
-
Ulsan HD
2:0
18.10.2025
Ulsan HD
-
Gwangju
2:0
02.07.2025
Gwangju
-
Ulsan HD
1:0
28.05.2025
Gwangju
-
Ulsan HD
1:1
02.05.2025
Ulsan HD
-
Gwangju
3:0
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Latest results of Gwangju
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Seoul | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 4 | Gangwon | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Daejeon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Pohang | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Anyang | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Incheon | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | -21 | 6 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
