Result
3:0
07/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Arce V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (449/503) | 77% (241/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (449/503) | 77% (241/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (140/176) | 62% (39/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Palavecino A. ⚽, Ibanez N. (A),
- 26', Sanchez A. ↓, Lajud G. ↑,
- 31', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
- 36', Lajud G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Aguila E. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 53', Ditta W. 🟨,
- 57', Marquez J. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 65', Ibanez N. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
- 66', Paradela J. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Fernandez G. ⚽, Palavecino A. (A),
- 68', Medina J. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 68', Macias O. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Montano A. ⚽, Fernandez G. (A),
- 73', Campos O. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 73', Palavecino A. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
- 77', Torres R. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
- 88', Lira E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul 65.6% | Draw 20.4% | Atlético San Luis 14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.45) |
4.58 ↑ (4.32) |
6.66 ↑ (6.06) |
6.4% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 6 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Atlético San Luis (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4.
- Cruz Azul has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlético San Luis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cruz Azul is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Mier K.
(Injury)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Cruz Azul will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Atlético San Luis?
Cruz Azul has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Cruz Azul?
Atlético San Luis has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
11.08.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Cruz Azul
1:2
15.03.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Atlético San Luis
3:0
17.09.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Cruz Azul
3:1
10.02.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Atlético San Luis
3:0
29.09.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Cruz Azul
1:2
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)