Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns
04/07/2025 at 22:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Essendon Bombers
26.8%
Gold Coast Suns
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 70.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.37)

    1.28
    (1.32)
    7.7%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-23)
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 3.
    • Recent form of Essendon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gold Coast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gold Coast is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1368:1147. (average 80.5:67.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 595:452. (average 99.2:75.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Essendon Bombers Postponed
    10.08.2024 Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns 86:87
    02.06.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Essendon Bombers 91:80
    26.03.2023 Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns 108:80
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    5Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    6Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    7Western Bulldogs159061582:1203131.5036
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1541101152:146778.5318
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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