Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
100:47
13/09/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanySportdigital1+

Match Stats

Goals
146
Behinds
1611
Kicks
235183
Handballs
139130
Disposals
374313
Frees For
1319
Frees Against
1913
Clearances Completed
4326
Marks
11585
Tackles
6356
Hitouts
3948

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (23 - 22)
  • 00:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 02:49, King B. (G),
  • 04:07, Anderson N. (G),
  • 06:59, Morris L. (G),
  • 10:26, King B. (Behind),
  • 11:43, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 13:29, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 14:12, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:21, King B. (G),
  • 17:35, Berry J. (G),
  • 21:49, Gallop T. (Behind),
  • 22:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:06, Long B. (Behind),
  • 26:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 28:59, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (37 - 13)
  • 02:25, Morris L. (G),
  • 04:42, Rowell M. (G),
  • 08:38, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 11:04, Rayner C. (G),
  • 14:14, Flanders S. (G),
  • 20:41, McInerney O. (Behind),
  • 21:28, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 24:22, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 29:59, Noble J. (Behind),
  • 31:26, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (22 - 4)
  • 00:54, Farrar J. (Behind),
  • 01:59, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 06:33, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
  • 10:00, Humphrey B. (Behind),
  • 10:57, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 14:11, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:31, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 20:07, Miller T. (Behind),
  • 21:10, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 22:14, Gallop T. (G),
  • 24:15, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (18 - 8)
  • 01:24, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 02:20, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 05:24, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 08:15, McInerney O. (Behind),
  • 14:18, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 16:08, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 17:15, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 22:45, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 24:35, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 27:25, Weller L. (Behind),
  • 29:32, Humphrey B. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lions
60.1%
Gold Coast Suns
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.47)

    2.35
    (2.58)
    7.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    What is the prediction for Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gold Coast (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Brisbane will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1898:1446. (average 94.9:72.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 927:578. (average 103:64.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 130:64
    04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49
    27.07.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 65:93
    05.05.2024 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 79:45
    29.07.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 91:55
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans8701945:571165.5028
    2Fremantle Dockers8701758:570132.9828
    3Hawthorn Hawks8611829:684121.2026
    4Brisbane Lions8503862:684126.0220
    5Gold Coast Suns8503806:695115.9720
    6Geelong Cats8503791:690114.6420
    7Melbourne Demons8503811:809100.2520
    8Collingwood Magpies8413666:613108.6518
    9St Kilda Saints8404765:666114.8616
    10North Melbourne8404764:720106.1116
    11Adelaide Crows8404685:70996.6116
    12Western Bulldogs8404720:78791.4916
    13Port Adelaide Power8305703:634110.8812
    14GWS Giants8305668:75788.2412
    15West Coast Eagles8206557:93959.328
    16Carlton Blues8107634:81278.084
    17Essendon Bombers8107649:92570.164
    18Richmond Tigers8107523:87160.054

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