Result
2:2
18/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.36 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (427/484) | 84% (360/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.36 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (427/484) | 84% (360/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (27/38) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (176/214) | 69% (59/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Olatunji V. ⚽, Gozo Z. (A), Ojeda B. (A2)
- 21', Durkin C. 🟨,
- 24', Luna D. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 2, Olatunji V. ⚽, Goncalves D. (A),
- 39', Hartel M. (Pen),
- 42', 1 - 2, Lowen E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Jeong S. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
- 65', Luna D. ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
- 72', Joyner M. ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
- 74', Glad J. 🟨,
- 79', Fall F. 🟨,
- 82', Caliskan N. ↓, Eneli E. ↑,
- 83', Olatunji V. ↓, Agada W. ↑,
- 83', Totland T. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
- 83', Lowen E. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 84', Durkin C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 85', Yedlin D. 🟨,
- 87', Gozo Z. ↓, Quinton P. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Joao Klauss ⚽, Fall F. (A), Padelford D. (A2)
- 90+7', Ostrak T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Louis City
40.1% | Draw
24.1% | Real Salt Lake
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for St. Louis City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.31) |
3.99 ↑
(3.75) |
2.67 ↑
(2.63) |
4.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Real Salt Lake will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- St. Louis City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Salt Lake has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Teuchert C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M.
(Muscle Injury)
Bonilla J.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Knee Injury)
Henry K.
(International duty)
Katranis A.
(Yellow Cards)
Luna D.
(International duty)
MacMath Z.
(Back Injury)
Ojeda B.
(International duty)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Real Salt Lake?
St. Louis City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Salt Lake won against St. Louis City?
Real Salt Lake has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
05.07.2025
Real Salt Lake
-
St. Louis City
3:2
30.03.2024
Real Salt Lake
-
St. Louis City
3:1
24.02.2024
St. Louis City
-
Real Salt Lake
1:1
21.06.2023
St. Louis City
-
Real Salt Lake
1:3
25.03.2023
Real Salt Lake
-
St. Louis City
0:4
Latest results of St. Louis City
Latest results of Real Salt Lake
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
