Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (294/379) | 78% (293/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (294/379) | 78% (293/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (88/127) | 70% (89/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Elber (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Moraes ⚽,
- 45+5', Boudah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Funabashi Y. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
- 50', Higuchi Y. 🟨,
- 52', Chinen K. 🟨,
- 66', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 66', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 69', Tagawa K. ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
- 70', Elber ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 84', Chinen K. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Ogawa R. (A),
- 88', Nono K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
- 89', Arai T. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
24.3% | Draw
27.5% | Kashima Antlers
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.11 ↑
(3.32) |
3.53 ↑
(3.37) |
2.01 ↓
(2.16) |
2.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
- Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kashima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kashima has had a series of home games.
- Kashima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Fujiwara S.
(Yellow Cards)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:34. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Kashima Antlers?
Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Albirex Niigata?
Kashima Antlers has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
26.02.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Albirex Niigata
2:1
05.10.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Kashima Antlers
0:4
16.06.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Albirex Niigata
1:1
26.08.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
18.06.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
