Result
0:1
24/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (419/496) | 83% (382/462) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (419/496) | 83% (382/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/43) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (125/165) | 67% (85/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Nono K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
- 49', Anzai K. 🟨,
- 63', Okubo T. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
- 67', Araki R. ↓, Morooka S. ↑,
- 68', Nono K. 🟨,
- 69', Koizumi Y. 🟨,
- 79', Matsumura Y. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
- 79', Higuchi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
- 79', Anzai K. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
- 79', Koizumi Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 84', Leo Ceara ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
- 89', Tsukui K. 🟥,
- 90', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Yuruki K. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
36.6% | Draw
27.8% | Kashima Antlers
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashiwa Reysol's form might have worsened.Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kashima Antlers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.17) |
3.38 ↑
(3.37) |
2.65 ↓
(3.33) |
6.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Kashima will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Kashima (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kashima (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 0.
- In recent matches, Kashiwa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kashima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kubo T.
(Red Card)
Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Koike R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Kashima Antlers?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Kashima Antlers has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
21.02.2026
Kashima Antlers
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
20.07.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Kashiwa Reysol
3:2
08.03.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Kashima Antlers
1:3
21.09.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
06.05.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Kashima Antlers
1:2
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
