Defensa y Justicia vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/02/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.460.82
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
22
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
51
Passes
73% (206/283)83% (462/560)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.460.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.44
Total shots
612
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
18
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1128
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1014
Passes
73% (206/283)83% (462/560)
Long passes
56% (41/73)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
63% (41/65)65% (111/170)
Crosses
18% (3/17)35% (9/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.03
Throw ins
1826
Fouls
1410
Tackles
52% (11/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
3816
Interceptions
235
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.440.77
Goals prevented
0.44-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. , Molinas A. (A),
  • 20', Valdes D. , Godoy D. ,
  • 40', Lanzini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Botta R. , Lopez J. ,
  • 49', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Pellegrini M. ,
  • 67', Miritello J. B. , Hausch A. ,
  • 67', Lucero S. , Altamira F. ,
  • 76', Altamira F. 🟨,
  • 77', Pellegrini M. , Robertone L. ,
  • 79', Gutierrez J. , Barbona D. ,
  • 87', Monzon F. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 87', Lanzini M. , Machuca I. ,
  • 89', Molinas A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
25.6%
Draw
33.5%
Vélez Sársfield
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 31.1% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (2.57)
    2.83
    (3)
    2.31
    (2.85)
    6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Vélez (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vélez Sársfield will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.
    • Defensa y Justicia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Martinez D. (Injury) Osorio A. (Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive) Romero B. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia 3:0
    30.03.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1374215:9625
    2Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba133376:16-1012
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)