Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (241/337) | 60% (175/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (241/337) | 60% (175/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (33/70) | 22% (13/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (87/139) | 47% (45/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 77% (20/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Gordon J. ⚽, Godoy D. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Gordon J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Valenzuela M. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
- 46', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 59', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
- 63', Lanzini M. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
- 63', Godoy D. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
- 75', Pellegrini M. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
- 75', Baeza C. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 83', Abaldo M. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente
45% | Draw
31.4% | Vélez Sársfield
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Independiente - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.95) |
3 ↑
(2.83) |
4 ↓
(4.56) |
6.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Vélez Sársfield?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Independiente (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Independiente will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 15 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
- Independiente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vélez: Garayalde N.
(Inactive)
Monzon F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Vélez Sársfield?
Independiente has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Independiente?
Vélez Sársfield has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
16.08.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
2:1
12.02.2025
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:0
27.09.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
1:0
26.05.2024
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
30.01.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
0:1
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
