Result
2:4
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, Sky Sports Korea |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Ahn Jun-Su (Own goal),
- 24', 1 - 1, Sabbag P. (Pen),
- 30', Lee Jae-Won 🟨,
- 34', Jung Seung-Bae ↓, Andrigo ↑,
- 36', 1 - 2, Byeon Jun-Soo ⚽, Oh Hoo-Sung (A),
- 41', 2 - 2, Park In-Hyeok (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Moon Min-seo ↓, Shin Chang-Moo ↑,
- 61', Lee K. ↓, Yu Je-Ho ↑,
- 61', Park In-Hyeok ↓, Jeong J. ↑,
- 63', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Seo Jae-Min ↑,
- 79', Lee S. ↓, Kyeong-min K. ↑,
- 80', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Roh Kyung-Ho ↑,
- 81', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Cho Sung-Gwon ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Cho Sung-Gwon ⚽, Shin Chang-Moo (A),
- 90+6', 2 - 4, Reis ⚽, Shin Chang-Moo (A),
- 90+9', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
- 90+14', Shin Chang-Moo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Suwon
33.5% | Draw
28.3% | Gwangju
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suwon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gwangju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Suwon - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.49) |
3.42 ↑
(3.32) |
2.48 ↓
(2.76) |
3.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Suwon - Gwangju?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gwangju will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.
- In recent matches, Suwon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gwangju is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Suwon has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Suwon won against Gwangju?
Suwon has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Suwon?
Gwangju has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gwangju were as follows:
18.07.2025
Suwon
-
Gwangju
2:1
14.05.2025
Suwon
-
Gwangju
1:2
15.02.2025
Gwangju
-
Suwon
0:0
27.07.2024
Gwangju
-
Suwon
1:0
25.06.2024
Suwon
-
Gwangju
1:0
Latest results of Gwangju
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 55:27 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu ✔ | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 52 |
| 3 | Daejeon ✔ | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 42:39 | 3 | 49 |
| 4 | Pohang | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 48 |
| 5 | Seoul | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 44 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Gangwon | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 | Anyang | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 37:39 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Suwon FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Ulsan HD | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Jeju SK ✔ | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | Daegu ✔ | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:58 | -22 | 23 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Gimcheon Sangmu is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Daejeon is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Jeju SK is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
