Result
0:1
30/11/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Relegation Group - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ahn Hyeok-Ju ↓, Reis ↑,
- 50', 0 - 1, Reis ⚽,
- 54', Kim Gyeong-Min ↓, Andrigo ↑,
- 54', Roh Kyung-Ho ↓, Han Chan-Hee ↑,
- 61', Ahn Young-Kyu ↓, Min Sang-Gi ↑,
- 61', Kwon Sung-Yun ↓, Sim Sang-Min ↑,
- 66', Lee Jae-Won ↓, Choi Chi-Ung ↑,
- 69', Moon Min-seo ↓, Shin Chang-Moo ↑,
- 78', Park In-Hyeok 🟨,
- 80', Lee S. ↓, Kim Tae-Han ↑,
- 80', Hwang In-Taek ↓, Lee Joon-Suk ↑,
- 86', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Yu Je-Ho ↑,
- 90+6', Roh Hee-Dong 🟨,
Chances of winning
Suwon
49% | Draw
26.6% | Gwangju
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Suwon's performance.Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+3%)
Suwon - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.14) |
3.5 ↑
(3.32) |
3.84 ↑
(3.3) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Suwon - Gwangju?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Suwon (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Suwon (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB, 1st Half - Suwon (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Suwon will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Suwon (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 1.
- Suwon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gwangju has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Suwon could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Suwon won against Gwangju?
Suwon has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Suwon?
Gwangju has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gwangju were as follows:
14.09.2025
Suwon
-
Gwangju
2:4
18.07.2025
Suwon
-
Gwangju
2:1
14.05.2025
Suwon
-
Gwangju
1:2
15.02.2025
Gwangju
-
Suwon
0:0
27.07.2024
Gwangju
-
Suwon
1:0
Latest results of Gwangju
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Seoul | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Daejeon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Anyang | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Incheon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Gangwon | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Pohang | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Jeju SK | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
